China power demand growing faster than expected in 2024, industry association says

BEIJING: China’s power demand will grow faster than expected this year due to record heat waves and Beijing’s economic stimulus aimed at shoring up demand, an industry association said in its latest quarterly report.
The China Electricity Council now sees 2024 electricity consumption growing by 7 per cent to 9.9 trillion kilowatt-hours (kWh), according to its third-quarter report released late on Monday.
The group had forecast 6.5 per cent growth to 9.82 trillion kWh in its previous report.
The new forecast would put 2024 power demand growth ahead of last year’s 6.7 per cent, the group said. It also indicates electricity consumption will continue to expand faster than China’s economy, which is likely to grow 4.8 per cent this year according to a Reuters poll of economists.
“Driven by high temperatures in the summer, power consumption in the first three quarters exceeded expectations,” the CEC report said, adding that peak demand reached a record high of 1.45 billion kilowatts during the summer as China logged the hottest national average temperature in 57 years.
The report also cited the economic stimulus package introduced earlier this month to shore up the country’s economy, which it said would help maintain economic growth and support power demand.
However, the CEC said power demand growth would slow to 5 per cent during the fourth quarter because of a high base effect in the year-ago period.
As power demand grows, supply could be tight this winter during periods of peak demand in parts of eastern and southern China, according to the report. Power demand also normally spikes in the winter when households turn on their heaters.